Chat
- pommystuart
- Posts: 1814
- Joined: Mon May 18, 2020 12:48 am
- Location: Cooranbong, NSW, Australia.
Re: Chat
Ditto Matteo.
- pommystuart
- Posts: 1814
- Joined: Mon May 18, 2020 12:48 am
- Location: Cooranbong, NSW, Australia.
Re: Chat
Byrne and Renwick agree that using your local government-owned meteorological organisation is your best bet for getting the most accurate weather forecasts.
“All the meteorological organisations (like BoM or New Zealand’s MetService) will do a great job,” says Renwick. “But there are plenty of private companies that provide weather information – some of it is good, some of it is not that good.
Despite all the advances, technology and skill, “no forecast of the future of anything is certain,” says Renwick.
After all, weather forecasters are one of the few professionals that tell us what’s going to happen days or weeks in advance, and despite the difficulties (and grumpy users) they’re correct nearly all the time.
“I just know [that at BoM] it’s a bunch of people who actually care and who try really, really hard and they put all sorts of processes in place just make sure they do the best they can,” says Byrne. “And that’s why I trust them. We’re literally predicting the future. When you think about it like that it’s incredible.”
The other thing to note is that the local weather at any time varies greatly from place to place, even within a few km, especially in areas with lots of variation in terrain, or in areas close to the ocean, like Victoria. In the summer, the temperature can be as much as 15 degrees different between places near the harbour and places about 10 km away.
- pommystuart
- Posts: 1814
- Joined: Mon May 18, 2020 12:48 am
- Location: Cooranbong, NSW, Australia.
Re: Chat
A local well known weather forecaster said to make money on weather prediction, bet that the weather will be the same tomorrow as it is today.
(That is rain, Sunny, etc not temps.)
Most of the time that is right.
(That is rain, Sunny, etc not temps.)
Most of the time that is right.
Re: Chat
If you want to get likes on U-tube, I suppose. However, I have to confess to swimming out the ice on a lake, sitting on it for one minute and then swimming back to shore.
It was a sunny day, though, and the air was quite warm.
It was a sunny day, though, and the air was quite warm.