Transcriber Weather

[Morgan]

I replaced the screen on my front door. We open two doors for a great source of moving air. I have to ensure the screens are closed so that we keep thing OUT. Two gold finches this spring. Their little hearts beat wildly as I catch them to send them out and on their way!

[Michael]

[Randi]

Pouring rain and delightfully cool

Anyone want to volunteer for "Man overboard" drill?

[jil]

Beautiful blue sky this morning and no wind and despite the sun having risen 2 hours ago its 6C! Actually I'm not complaining, I don't like it hot.

[Randi]

Readings from the Pittsburgh Int’l. Airport
June 11-20, 2021

Daily Highs
75
82
87
81
75
72
77
77
77
85
Normal average high for this period: 79
Record high for this period: 97 (1880 and 1994)

Daily Lows
69
60
66
58
56
48
45
57
68
66

Normal average low for this period: 59
Record low for this period: 33 (2013)

[ggordon]

Every time I look at the forecast for this coming weekend they raise the temperature. Now they are forecasting 38 Saturday and 39 Sunday here in Kent. They're forecasting 36 for Seattle both days.

[ggordon]

Now they're forecasting 41 for Kent this coming Sunday.

[Randi]

Horrible!

[ggordon]

I just checked the forecast for Portland, Oregon, and it's 45 for Sunday.

[Randi]

[Michael]

I'm looking at two forecasts for us. Typically the European model forecasts maximum temperatures about four degrees low when clear skies are expected. It's the influence of the water, which surrounds Victoria on three sides. The Canadian model has a much smaller grid spacing, so it can account for locations that are just a few miles from the water.

Here are the forecasts from the two models:

Code: Select all

Thursday 24 June     Maximum:  21 C     Minimum:  17 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  14 kmh
Friday 25 June       Maximum:  27 C     Minimum:  17 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  11 kmh
Saturday 26 June     Maximum:  31 C     Minimum:  19 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  11 kmh
Sunday 27 June       Maximum:  32 C     Minimum:  22 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  14 kmh
Monday 28 June       Maximum:  33 C     Minimum:  25 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  14 kmh
Tuesday 29 June      Maximum:  28 C     Minimum:  21 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  29 kmh
Wednesday 30 June    Maximum:  26 C     Minimum:  18 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  22 kmh
Thursday 1 July      Maximum:  25 C     Minimum:  18 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  18 kmh
Friday 2 July        Maximum:  25 C     Minimum:  17 C  Precip:   0.0 mm        Max Wind:  14 kmh

Code: Select all

Today   A mix of sun and cloud. Windy near Juan de Fuca Strait early this morning. High
        23 except 20 near the water. Humidex 27. UV index 9 or very high.
Tonight A few clouds. Low 16.
Fri, 25 Sunny. High 29 except 22 near the water. Humidex 35. UV index 9 or very high.
        Fri Night: Clear. Low 18.
Sat, 26 Sunny. High 32.
        Sat Night: Clear. Low 18.
Sun, 27 Sunny. High 33.
        Sun Night: Clear. Low 18.
Mon, 28 Sunny. High 37.
        Mon Night: Clear. Low 18.
Tue, 29 Sunny. High 31.
        Tue Night: Clear. Low 18.
Wed, 30 Sunny. High 28.

The record maximum June temperature for the University of Victoria, which is the location for the forecast above, is 32.2C. The record for Victoria International Airport is 33.5. It has a longer period of record than does the university.

If I used the four degree rule for the European model, I could argue for 37, but it doesn't seem reasonable to me. I guess we'll soon find out. Either way, it will be hot!

[Randi]

Looks grim.
Pacific Northwest faces one of its most severe heat waves in history

[jil]

Awful! I don't know how you deal with that, I can't cope when it gets to about 30C. Best wishes to anyone in the area affected.

[studentforever]

Phew. I can cope with mid thirties somewhere pretty dry, like parts of Egypt but much over 25c in humid Glasgow has me hunting for somewhere cooler. Mind you, our Greek students were moaning about the heat when I know from experience that Greece could get hotter. 'It's the humidity' they panted plus the fact that our architecture doesn't cope well with heat while theirs doesn't cope with cold as I can vouch for having taught there one January with inches of snow in Athens and frost In Patras where I was teaching on an Erasmus course.

[ggordon]

I escape to the basement, where it will be 20 degrees Fahrenheit cooler at the start of a stretch of hot weather, but if it stays hot for a few days, the basement is nearly as hot as it is upstairs.

[Michael]

I worked a bit on converting the HTML from the Norwegian Met Service's website. Here's our forecast for the next nine days:

Code: Select all

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Date              | Night     | Morning      | Afternoon    | Evening   | Max | Min | Prcp | Wind
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday 25 June    |           | Mainly Sunny | Sunny        | Clear sky |  27 |  18 |    0 |   14
Saturday 26 June  | Clear sky | Sunny        | Sunny        | Clear sky |  30 |  20 |    0 |   14
Sunday 27 June    | Clear sky | Sunny        | Sunny        | Clear sky |  32 |  22 |    0 |   18
Monday 28 June    | Clear sky | Sunny        | Sunny        | Clear sky |  37 |  23 |    0 |   14
Tuesday 29 June   | Clear sky | Sunny        | Sunny        | Clear sky |  31 |  20 |    0 |   22
Wednesday 30 June | Clear sky | Sunny        | Sunny        | Clear sky |  27 |  18 |    0 |   25
Thursday 1 July   | Clear sky | Mainly Sunny | Mainly Sunny | Clear sky |  22 |  17 |    0 |   22
Friday 2 July     | Fair      | Mainly Sunny | Mainly Sunny | Clear sky |  24 |  17 |    0 |   14
Saturday 3 July   | Clear sky | Sunny        | Sunny        | Clear sky |  27 |  18 |    0 |   14
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

And the forecast from Environment Canada

Code: Select all

Today   Sunny. High 29 except 22 near the water. Humidex 35. UV index 9 or very high.
Tonight Clear. Low 18.
Sat, 26 Sunny. High 31 except 23 near the water. Humidex 39.
        Sat Night: Clear. Low 18.
Sun, 27 Sunny. High 35 except 28 near the water.
        Sun Night: Clear. Low 18.
Mon, 28 Sunny. High 37 except 30 near the water.
        Mon Night: Clear. Low 18.
Tue, 29 Sunny. High 31 except 24 near the water.
        Tue Night: Clear. Low 18.
Wed, 30 Sunny. High 28 except 21 near the water.
        Wed Night: Clear. Low 16.
Thu, 1 Sunny. High 27 except 20 near the water.

[Randi]

Wow! The water is a big help.

[Michael]

Not for us. We're about four km from the water, so the sea breeze doesn't make it this far inland. You really notice it, though, if you are very close to the water.

[Michael]

This is where we are at 4:00 PM

Code: Select all

Summary:      12    24 Hrs
Maximum:    31.4  31.4 deg C
Minimum:    14.7  14.7 deg C
Precip:      0.0   0.0 mm
Max Wind:     11    11 kmh

The forecast max by the European model was 27, the Canadian model was 29. The previous records at U. Vic and at the International Airport were 30.3 and 30.2 respectively.

[Michael]

We got to 35.7 this afternoon, breaking the all-time June maximum temperature for Victoria.
Previous records
U. Vic: 32.2
Victoria International 33.5.